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Program evaluation, impact assessment studies and methods
My policy-relevant research includes many studies aiming to identify the impacts of alternative policies, programmes, new technolgies, and shocks. A variety of methods have been applied including various types of bio-economic and economy-wide modelling approaches where data are limited, where there are general equilibrium or dynamic effects that are hard or impossible to tease out of cross-sectional or household panel data. My more recent work has focused on use of econometric methods to identify impacts from specific policy interventions like irrigation investments, land certification, and input subsidies as well as changes in market access where non-parametric and parametric methods can help to identify the impacts when reasonable identification strategies can be developed. A mixed methods approach can in many cases be optimal in a second-best world where social experiments are infeasible or only a partial solution.
Unpublished papers:
Bethelhem Legesse Debela, Gerald Shively and Stein T. Holden. Does Ethiopia's Productive Safety Net Program Improve Child Nutrition? CLTS Working Paper No. 1/2014. Centre for Land Tenure Studies, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Ås, Norway.
Ghebru, Hosaena and Stein T. Holden (2013). Links between Tenure Security and Food Security: Evidence from Ethiopia. CLTS Working Paper No. 2/2013. Centre for Land Tenure Studies, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Ås, Norway.
Holden, S. T. and Lunduka, R. (2011). Do Fertilizer Subsidies Crowd Out Organic Maures? The Case of Malawi. Paper submitted for the EAERE conference in Rome, June 29-July 2, 2011. Link
Holden, S. T. and Lunduka, R. (2010). Too Poor to be Efficient? Impacts of the Targeted Fertilizer Subsidy Program in Malawi on Farm Plot Level Input Use, Crop Choice and Land Productivity. Report to NORAD. Department of Economics and Resource Management, Norwegian University of Life Sciences. Link to paper. Link to blog briefs.
Holden, S. T. and Lunduka, R. (2010). Impacts of the fertilizer subsidy program in Malawi: Targeting, household perceptions and preferences. Report to NORAD. Department of Economics and Resource Management, Norwegian University of Life Sciences. Link to paper. Link to blog briefs.
Holden, S. T., Deininger, K. and Ghebru, H. (2010). Impact of land registration and certification on land border conflicts in Ethiopia. Paper presented at the World Bank Annual Conference on Land Policy and Administration in Washington DC April 26-27, 2010.
Bezu, S., Holden, S. T., and Barrett, C. B. (2010). Does Nonfarm Economy Offer Pathways for Upward Mobility? Department of Economics and Resource Management, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Ås.
Tatwangire, A. and Holden, S. T. (2010). Changes in Human Capital and Impacts on Household Welfare in Uganda. Department of Economics and Resource Management, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Ås.
Holden, S., Xu, J. and Jiang, X. (2009). Tenure Security and Forest Tenure Reforms in China. Paper presented in the Nordic Conference in Development Economics at Oscarsborg, Drøbak, 18-19th June, 2009.
Tatwangire, A. and Holden, S. T. (2009). Modes of Land Access and Welfare Impacts in Uganda. Paper presented at the 27th IAAE ConferenceBeijing, China 16-22 August 2009.
Recent published and forthcoming papers:
Holden, S. T. and Lunduka, R. (2014). Input Subsidies, Cash Constraints and Timing of Input Supply. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 96(1): 290–307. Link
Holden, S. T. and Lunduka, R. (2013). Who Benefit from Malawi's Input Subsidy Program? Forum For Development Studies 40(1), 1-25. Link
Holden, S. T., Otsuka, K. and Deininger, K. (Eds.) (2013). Land Tenure Reforms in Asia and Africa: Impacts on Poverty and Natural Resource Management.Palgrave Macmillan. Forthcoming August 2013. Link
Holden, S. T. and Lunduka, R. (2012). Do Fertilizer Subsidies Crowd Out Organic Manures? The Case of Malawi. Agricultural Economics 43, 301-312.
Gebregziabher, G. and Holden, S. T. (2011). Does Irrigation Enhance and Food Deficits Discourage Fertilizer Adoption in a Risky Environment? Eveidence from Tigray, Ethiopia. Journal of Development and Agricultural Economics 3(10), 514-528. Link
Holden, S. T., Deininger, K. and Ghebru, H. (2011). Tenure Insecurity, Gender, Low-cost Land Certification and Land Rental Market Participation. Journal of Development Studies 47(1), 31-47. Link. Earlier version
Gebregziabher, G., Namara, R. E. and Holden, S. T. (2009). Poverty reduction with irrigation investment: An empirical case study from Tigray, Ethiopia. Agricultural Water Management 96, 1837-1843. See: Abstract
Holden, S. T., Otsuka, K. and Place, F. (Eds) (2008). The Emergence of Land Markets in Africa: Impacts on Poverty, Equity and Efficiency. Resources For the Future Press, WashingtonD.C. Here
Holden, S. T., Deininger, K. and Ghebru, H. (2009). Impacts of Low-cost Land Certification on Investment and Productivity. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 91 (2):359-373. See: Abstract
Benjaminsen, T. A., Holden, S. T., Lund, C. and Sjaastad, E. (2009). Formalisation of land rights: Some empirical evidence from Mali, Niger and South Africa. Land Use Policy 26: 28–35. See: Abstract
Bezu, S. and Holden, S. T. (2008). Can Food-for-Work Encourage Agricultural Production? Food Policy 33(5): 541-549. See: Abstract
Deininger, K., Ali, D., Holden, S. T. og Zevenbergen, J. (2008). Rural land certification in Ethiopia: Process, initial impact, and implications for the other African countries. World Developmen 36(10): 1786-1812.
See: Abstract
Holden, S. T. and Bezabih, M. (2008). Gender and Land Productivity on Rented Out Land: Evidence from Ethiopia. In Holden, S. T., Otsuka, K. and Place, F. (Eds.). The Emergence of Land Markets in Africa: Impacts on Poverty and Efficiency. Resources For the Future Press, Washington D.C.
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