Farm Input Subsidies: Can They Be Defended?


The use of farm input subsidies has been controversial since the early 1980s when the World Bank and IMF promoted Stabilization and Structural Adjustment Policies to solve the debt and poor economic growth problems that many LDC countries faced. The word "subsidy" almost became like a swearword and the classical discussion by Pigou of the potential of taxes and subsidies to internalize externalities was almost forgotten.


With the Millennium Development Goals and a stronger focus on poverty reduction and poverty targeting, input subsidies has again emerged as an important policy instrument and is acknowledged and supported by the World Bank in some countries.


My research on the role of input subsidies goes back to assessing the various impacts of agricultural subsidies in the 1980s on deforestation, land degradation and household welfare, to how to design smart subsidies to internalize environmental externalities, and recently to assessing a range of impacts from the targeted Farm Input Subsidy Program in Malawi.

Papers and presentations:

Holden, S. T. (2019). Economics of Farm Input Subsidies in Africa. Annual Review of Resource Economics, doi: 10.1146/annurev-resource-100518-094002. Link


Katengeza, S., Holden, S. T. and Fischer, M. (2019). Use of Integrated Soil Fertility Management Technologies in Malawi: Impact of Dry Spells Exposure. Ecological Economics, 156 (February), 134-152. Link


Holden, S. T. (2018). Fertilizer and Sustainable Intensification in Sub-Saharan Africa. Global Food Security 18, 20-26. Link


Katengeza, S. P., Holden, S. T.,  and Lunduka, R. W. (2018). Adoption of Drought Tolerant Maize Varieties under Rainfall Stress in Malawi. Journal of Agricultural Economics, Link Doi: 10.1111/1477-9552.12283.


Holden, S. T. and Quiggin, J. (2017). Climate risk and state-contingent technology adoption: shocks, drought tolerance and preferences. European Review of Agricultural Economics 44 (2): 285–308. doi: 10.1093/erae/jbw016. Link


Holden, S. T. and Fisher, M. (2015). Subsidies promote use of drought tolerant maize varieties despite variable yield performance under smallholder environments in Malawi. Food Security 7(6): 1225-1238. Link


Holden, S. T. and O’Donnell, C. J. (2015). Maize Productivity and Input Subsidies in Malawi: A State-Contingent Stochastic Production Frontier Approach. School of Economics and Business Working Paper No. 2/2015. Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Aas, Norway. Link


Holden, S. T. and Lunduka, R. (2014). Input Subsidies, Cash Constraints and Timing of Input Supply. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 96(1): 290–307. Link


Skjeflo, S. W. and Holden, S. T. (2014). Economy-wide effects of input subsidies in Malawi: Market imperfections and household heterogeneity. CLTS Working Paper No. 7/2014. Centre for Land Tenure Studies, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Ås, Norway. Link


Holden, S. T. (2014). Agricultural Household Models for Malawi: Household Heterogeneity, Market Characteristics, Agricultural Productivity, Input Subsidies, and Price Shocks. A Baseline Report. CLTS Working Paper No. 5/2014. Centre for Land Tenure Studies, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Ås, Norway. Link


Holden, S. and Mangisoni, J. (2013). Input subsidies and improved maize varieties in Malawi: - What can we learn from the impacts in a drought year? CLTS Working Paper No. 7/2013. Centre for Land Tenure Studies, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Ås, Norway. Link


Holden, S.(2013). Input subsidies and demand for improved maize: Relative prices and household heterogeneity matter! CLTS Working Paper No. 6/2013. Centre for Land Tenure Studies, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Ås, Norway. Link


Holden, S.(2013). Amazing maize in Malawi: Input subsidies, factor productivity and land use intensification. CLTS Working Paper No. 4/2013. Centre for Land Tenure Studies, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Ås, Norway. Link


My paper with Rodney Lunduka presented at the 28th International Conference of Agricultural Economists, The Global Bio-Economy at Iguassu Falls, Cataratas, Brazil, August 18-24, 2012: "Input Subsidies, Cash Constraints and Timing of Input Supply: -Experimental Evidence from Malawi" Paper


Holden, S. T. and Lunduka, R. (2013). Who Benefit from Malawi's Input Subsidy Program? Forum For Development Studies 40(1), 1-25. Link


Holden, S. T. and Lunduka, R. (2012). Do Fertilizer Subsidies Crowd Out Organic Manures? The Case of Malawi. Agricultural Economics 43, 301-312. Link


Our joint presentation at the AAEA Annual Meeting i Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, 24-26.July 2011,

Can Agricultural Input Subsidies Foster an African Green Revolution? Insights from Malawi”. Link


Holden, S. T. and Lunduka, R. (2011). Do Fertilizer Subsidies Crowd Out Organic Manures? The Case of Malawi. Paper submitted for the EAERE conference in Rome, June 29-July 2, 2011. Abstract


Holden, S. T. and Lunduka, R. (2011). Cash Constraints and Sticky Input Expenditures: -Experimental Evidence from Malawi. Paper presented at the Annual Conference of Norwegian Economists at Handelshøgskolen, Bergen, January 5-7, 2011. Abstract


Holden, S. T. and Lunduka, R. (2010). The Political Economy of Targeted Input Subsidies in Malawi. Paper presented at the NFU conference, Oslo, 25-26.November, 2010.


Holden, S. T. and Lunduka, R. (2010). Too Poor to be Efficient? Impacts of the Targeted Fertilizer Subsidy Program in Malawi on Farm Plot Level Input Use, Crop Choice and Land Productivity. Report to NORAD. Department of Economics and Resource Management, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Ås.

Link to paper. Link to blog briefs.


Holden, S. T. and Lunduka, R. (2010).  Impacts of the fertilizer subsidy program in Malawi: Targeting, household perceptions and preferences. Report to NORAD. Department of Economics and Resource Management, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Ås. Link to paper. Link to blog briefs.


Holden, S. T. and Lunduka, R. (2010). Yara, the Fertilizer Industry and the Impacts on Small Farmers in Malawi. Understanding the Issues 1/2010. Norwegian Church Aid, Lilongwe and Oslo. Link


Bezu, S. and Holden, S. T. (2008). Can Food-for-Work Encourage Agricultural Production? Food Policy 33(5): 541-549. Abstract


Earlier publications:


Holden, S., Lofgren, H. and Shiferaw, B.(2005). Economic Reforms and Soil Degradation in the Ethiopian Highlands: A Micro CGE Model with Transaction Costs. Paper presented at the ECOMOD conference, Istanbul. Link


Holden, S. and Lofgren, H. (2005). Assessing the Impacts of Natural Resource Management Policy Interventions with a Village General Equilibrium Model. In B. Shiferaw, H. Ade Freeman and S. Swinton (eds.), Natural Resource Management in Agriculture: Methods for Assessing Economic and Environmental Impacts. CABI Publishing, pp. 295-318. Book


Shiferaw, B. and Holden, S. T. (2000). Policy Instruments for Sustainable Land Management: The Case of Highland Smallholders in Ethiopia. Agricultural Economics 22: 217-232. Abstract


Holden, S. T., Taylor, J. E., and Hampton, S. (1998). Structural Adjustment and Market Imperfections: A Stylized Village Economy-Wide Model with Nonseparable Farm Households. Environment and Development Economics 4: 69-87. Abstract


Holden, S. T. (1997). Adjustment Policies, Peasant Household Resource Allocation, and Deforestation in Northern Zambia: Overview and Some Policy Conclusions. Forum for Development Studies 1: 117-134. Summary


Holden, S. T. and Shanmugaratnam, N. (1995). Structural Adjustment, Production Subsidies, and Sustainable Land Use. Forum For Development Studies 2, p.247-266. Summary


Holden, S. T. (1993). Peasant household modelling: Farming systems evolution and sustainability in northern Zambia. Agricultural Economics 9, 241-267. Abstract


Holden, S. T. (1993). The potential of agroforestry in the high rainfall areas of Zambia: A peasant programming model approach. Agroforestry Systems 24, 39-55. Abstract

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